WeatherHurricane

Actions

Heavy rain expected for Tampa Bay area as systems moves through the Gulf

Chances of development up to 50% while we start to watch a second area
rainfall estimate.png
Posted
and last updated

The National Hurricane Center said a disturbance in the Northwestern Caribbean has a 50% chance of forming a cyclone in the next seven days.

As the Tampa Bay area begins to recover from the impacts of Hurricane Helene, many are worried there could be another weather event headed for our area yet again. ABC Action News Chief Meteorologist Denis Phillips has everything you need to know about the potential development of this disturbance and what the effects could bring to the area.

Here are Denis' thoughts:

  1. Whether that piece of energy crossing Mexico into the SW Gulf develops or not (most models now say yes), increased rain chances arrive starting Sunday and lasting into next week.
  2. It will NOT be a washout weekend, although Saturday will be nicer than Sunday. Yes, your flight is ok. You can go to Disney and you can walk your dog any point in time this weekend. (End of next week might not be as good)
  3. The first wave of tropical moisture will stay around through Tuesday. If the other area develops, it will approach Florida on Thursday or Friday.
  4. The location would probably be anywhere from Tampa South. Again, IF it develops, many models hint at tropical storm strength. This is by no means set in stone yet, but I figured you'd want a heads-up.
  5. Conditions aren't really great for development, so honestly, I'm thinking whatever develops will be pretty ragged. So, just check in from time to time for updates. At this point, a low-impact system appears most likely. Personally, I vote for a NO impact system. We ain't got time for this nonsense.

We've got you covered.


Latest Tropical Update

October 4

Tracking the Tropics | October 4, Morning Update

HURRICANE RESOURCES

"Get down here and help us"
As recovery efforts on Treasure Island continue, residents question FEMA's response and want more help bringing supplies in and out.

Emotions boil over as residents in Treasure Island walk miles in heat to carry in supplies