Many people say they’re dreaming of a white Christmas, but most locales in the U.S. will likely not have snow on Dec. 25.
The Climate Prediction Center released its forecast for Dec. 22-26 showing the entire contiguous U.S. west of the Mississippi River will likely have above-average temperatures. Meanwhile, areas along the East Coast are likely to experience below-average temperatures.
While temperatures might be cold enough for snow in the Northeast, this area is expected to have below-average precipitation.
The Pacific Northwest will likely have well-above-average precipitation around Christmas. Those conditions could equate for a white Christmas for those in higher elevation regions of Oregon and Washington where temperatures will be cold enough even if its warmer than usual.
RELATED STORY | Storms across US bring heavy snow, dangerous ice and a tornado in California
According to the National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration, most major U.S. cities’ historical chances of seeing a white Christmas are well below 50%. NOAA considers a Christmas to be white if there is at least one inch of snow on the ground.
In major U.S. cities like New York and Philadelphia, the chances stand around 10%. Going up to Boston improves the chances to about 32%.
Major Midwest cities, like Chicago, Detroit and Cleveland, have about a 40% chance of a white Christmas.
U.S. cities with the best chances of a white Christmas (100 largest by population):
- St. Paul, Minnesota 76%
- Minneapolis 74%
- Madison, Wisconsin 65%
- Spokane, Washington 60%
- Buffalo 55%
- Milwaukee 47%
- Cleveland 43%
- Chicago 41%
- Denver 40%
- Toledo, Ohio 38%
Are you looking for a nearly guaranteed shot of having a white Christmas in the continental United States? Crested Butte, Colorado, has a 99% chance of a white Christmas, according to NOAA. The city is high up in the Rocky Mountains at an elevation of 8,800 feet.
RELATED STORY | NOAA expects La Niña to develop; what that means for winter weather
To see if your town has a shot at a white Christmas, click here.